Viability statement
Effectively leveraging integrated mobility
capabilities with significant new business
wins, service diversification aligned to
our ESG framework and the successful
refinancing of borrowing facilities strongly
positions the Group forfuture growth.
Assessment of prospects
Our business model and strategy are central
tounderstanding the prospects of the Group,
details of which can be found on pages 14
to18. The Group’s current overall strategy
hasbeen in place for several years, subject
tothe ongoing monitoring and development
described below. The combined Group is well
established within the markets it operates in,
details of which can befound on pages 11 to 13,
and has proven resilience through difficult
economic conditions in recent years,
includingthe impact of COVID-19, and
strongmomentum has continued throughout
the year ended 30 April2022.
The Board continues to take a measured
approach to strategic risk, as the Group
continues to progress through the Focus, Drive
and Broaden elements of its strategy, securing
significant contract wins through our enhanced
commercial offering, and diversifying the
service, such as through the acquisition of
ChargedEV, whilst exploring further market
and geographic growth opportunities intended
to add long term value to the Group. The Board
continually assesses the changes in the risk
profile and emerging risks to the Group, further
details ofwhich can be found of pages 28 to
29. TheGroup pursues only those activities
which are acceptable in the context of the risk
profile of the Group as a whole.
The assessment process and key assumptions
The Group’s prospects are assessed through
its strategic planning process. This process
includes an annual review of the ongoing
strategic plan, ledby the CEO, together with
the involvement ofbusiness functions in all
territories. The Board engages closely with
executive management throughout this
process and challenges delivery ofthe
Assessment of viability
To assess the Group’s viability, the three year
strategic plan was stress tested against various
scenarios and other sensitivities.
Sensitivity analysis of our strategy
A detailed three year strategic review was
conducted which considers the Group’s cash
flows, dividend cover assuming operation of
stated policy, and headroom against borrowing
facilities and financial covenants under the
Group’s existing facilities. These metrics were
subjected to sensitivity analysis to assess the
Group’s ability to deliver its strategic objectives.
Strengthened financial position
In November 2021, the Group secured £792m of
new facilities in the form of £475m bank revolving
credit and €375m of new loan notes. The Group’s
principal banking facility has a maturity date of
November 2025 and the loan notes provide
significant lengthening ofmaturities spread
across 6, 8 and 10 years. Headroom against the
Group’s existing banking facilities at 30 April
2022 was £382m as detailed on page 24. This
compares with headroom of £305m at 30 April
2021. Given the financial strength of the Group,
we do not anticipate any material deterioration in
the credit status of the Group or access to credit
markets that would contradict this assumption.
Taking this into account, the Group’s facilities
provide sufficient headroom to fund the capital
expenditure and working capital requirements
during the planned period.
Stress testing our risk resilience
The Directors have further considered the
resilience of the Group, considering its current
position and the principal risks facing the business.
The plan was stress tested for severe but plausible
scenarios over the planned period as follows:
– No further growth in vehicles on hire with
rental customers.
– No further increase in pricing of rental hire rates.
– A 2% increase above plan assumptions in the
purchase cost of vehicles and other operating
expenses not passed on to customers.
– A 10% reduction to assumptions in the plan
for the residual value of usedvehicles.
strategic plan during regular Board meetings.
Part of the Board’s role is to challenge the
plantoensure it is robust andmakes
dueconsideration of the appropriate
externalenvironment.
The Directors have assessed the viability of the
Group over a three year period to 30 April 2025,
considering the Group’s current position and a
robust assessment of the potential impact of the
principal risks documented in the Strategic Report.
The three year period was selected as this
represents the normal investment cycle of the
Group. With the exception of some minimum
termrental contracts, there is no fixed period
overwhich revenue is contracted, in line with the
flexibility offered to customers. Within the rental
business, vehicles are normally held for up to five
years, with an average holding period of three
years. Within the insurance claims and services
business, there is no fixed investment cycle.
Theviability of the business is underpinned
byitscommercial relationships with insurance
partners. Commercial terms are continuously
reviewed with insurance partners, with three
years representing an average review cycle of
material terms. The three year period used for
assessing viability is therefore aligned to how
capital is employed in the business, the maturity
of key commercial relationships and, therefore,
how returns on investment are reviewed.
The plan makes certain assumptions about the
normal level of capital recycling likely to occur
and therefore considers whether additional
financing will be required.
The first year of the financial forecast forms the
Group’s operating budget, with post COVID-19
recoveries embedded into the operations of
theGroup, and will be continuously reviewed
throughout the financial year. Subsequent
yearsare forecast from the base year, based
on historical experience and expected
measures within the overall strategic plan.
Based upon this assessment, the Directors have a
reasonable expectation that the Group will be able
to continue in operation and meet its liabilities as
they fall due over the period to 30 April 2025.
– A 25% volume reduction in insurance claims
and services revenue in aggregate, either
through lower demand or through ending the
commercial relationship with a group of key
insurance partners.
– A slow down of 50 days in the time taken to
settle outstanding claims with insurers.
Revenues from insurance claims and services are
closely linked to the volume and density of traffic
on the roads which in recent years has been
materially impacted by COVID-19 lockdowns.
Despite additional restrictions over the final
quarter of the 2021 calendar year, February 2022
saw the UK Government lift all remaining
COVID-19 restrictions and trading in the final
quarter of the year saw volumes returning to 90%
of pre COVID levels, including normal seasonality.
Over the COVID period in 2020 and 2021, overall
profitability and cash generation of the Group
increased due to the resilience of the business
model. A separate COVID type scenario has
therefore not been included as a downside case.
The above scenarios took into account the
effectiveness of mitigating actions that would
bereasonably taken, such as reducing variable
costs that are directly related to revenue, but
didnot take into account further management
actions that would likely be taken, such as
achange to the indirect cost base of the
Groupora reduction in capital expenditure
andageing out of the vehicle fleet, both of
whichwould generate cash and reduce debt.
Conclusions relating to viability
andgoing concern
After considering the above sensitivities
andreasonable mitigating actions, sufficient
headroom remained against available debt facilities
and the covenants attached to those facilities.
The Directors have a reasonable expectation that
the Group will continue to be able to meet its
obligations as they fall due and continue to be
viable due over the period to 30 April 2025. The
Directors also considered it appropriate to prepare
the financial statements on the going concern
basis, as explained in the Basis of preparation
paragraph in Note 1 of the Financial Statements.
35 Redde Northgate plc Annual Report and Accounts 2022